Credible Theories Sign in

"A Compelling Natural Force"

The first page of the 28 May 1959 resolution closing the criminal case, a typed Soviet document with an approval stamp area at the top
The first page of the 28 May 1959 resolution closing the criminal case, a typed Soviet document with an approval stamp area at the top

Prosecutor-criminologist L. N. Ivanov, 28 May 1959 (case file vol. 1, page 384). Public domain (Russian official document, not an object of copyright under article 1259 of the Civil Code of the Russian Federation). Picture source

The 1959 case closes without naming a cause, and reviews in 2019 and 2020, then a 2021 scientific study, point to a small avalanche.

28 May 1959 to January 2021

The story

On 28 May 1959 the investigator, Lev Ivanov, closes the criminal case. He finds no other people at the scene, no signs of a fight and nothing stolen. He writes that the hikers died from a force they could not overcome. The Russian phrase has been translated as "overwhelming force" and as "a compelling natural force".

Officials at the Institute and in the city sports bodies are punished for poor organization. The case does not say what the force was, and that gap fills with theories for sixty years.

In 2015 the Investigative Committee of Russia reopens the case. In 2019 it calls a snow avalanche the most likely cause. The Prosecutor General's Office runs its own review from 2019 and, in July 2020, reaches the same answer: an avalanche, then cold, darkness and a blizzard.

In January 2021 Johan Gaume of EPFL in Lausanne and Alexander Puzrin of ETH Zürich publish a model that tries to answer the main objections: the gentle slope, the long delay and the lack of debris. Their answer is wind-blown snow loading a small slab above the cut until it fails.

What the record says

it is concluded that the cause of their demise was overwhelming force, which the hikers were not able to overcome.

Resolution to close the case, 28 May 1959, sheet 387 (dyatlovpass.com translation)

According to the 1959 Soviet criminal investigation, “a compelling natural force” led to the death of the Dyatlov group. However, the nature of this force has not been identified.

Gaume and Puzrin, Communications Earth & Environment (2021), Introduction

[The dead tourists’] injuries are characteristic for the injuries of rock climbers caught in an avalanche,

Andrei Kuryakov, Prosecutor General's Office for the Ural Federal District, quoted by TASS, 11 July 2020
What we actually know

The 1959 wording is in the closing resolution, sheet 387; translations differ. The 2020 avalanche conclusion was announced by Andrei Kuryakov, reported by TASS and RFE/RL. Kommersant-Ural later reported that the Prosecutor General formally warned Kuryakov for speaking at that press conference for personal purposes, so the 2020 announcement itself is disputed in Russia. Gaume and Puzrin say their work shows the plausibility of a rare kind of slab failure that could possibly explain the incident, and that they do not address the radiation, the hikers' behavior after leaving the tent or the state of the bodies; and relatives of the hikers and many researchers still challenge the official finding.

Sources for this chapter

  1. Resolution to close the criminal case, prosecutor-criminologist L. N. Ivanov, 28 May 1959, case file vol. 1 sheets 384 to 387, English translation on dyatlovpass.com
  2. NatureThe website of Nature, a weekly science journal founded in London in 1869 and one of the most respected in the world. Its research papers are checked by other experts before they are printed.Johan Gaume and Alexander M. Puzrin, "Mechanisms of slab avalanche release and impact in the Dyatlov Pass incident in 1959", Communications Earth & Environment 2, article 10 (28 January 2021), open access
  3. TASS, "Prosecutors say avalanche killed Dyatlov group in Urals in 1959", 11 July 2020
  4. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, "Russian Officials Reportedly Close Investigation Into Mysterious 1959 Hiking Disaster", July 2020 (citing RIA Novosti)
  5. Nikolay Varsegov and Natalya Varsegova, Komsomolskaya Pravda, 11 July 2020: the Sverdlovsk prosecutors' reconstruction as presented by Andrey Kuryakov, English translation on dyatlovpass.com
  6. Kommersant-Ural report (2020) that Prosecutor General Igor Krasnov formally warned Andrey Kuryakov over the July 2020 press conference, English translation on dyatlovpass.com

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